Even a well-constructed trading plan can fail. Here are five primary reasons why your trading plan might not yield profits, based on insights from Hugh Kimura of Trading Heroes:
1. The Trading Plan Hasn't Been Properly Tested
Case: A trader buys a book of trading plans from an expert and applies it immediately, but loses up to 10% in a month.
Solution:
- Backtesting: Test your trading plan first to understand its success potential. Ensure your trading plan meets the following criteria:
- Demonstrates potential from the current strategy.
- Increases confidence during trading.
- Shows profit potential through a pre-set Risk Reward Ratio.
2. Not Aligned with Your Personality
Case: A good trading plan that doesn’t match your trading style will be difficult to implement effectively.
Solution:
- Know Your Trading Type: Understand yourself and choose a strategy that fits. Types of traders in the forex market include:
- Scalper: Trades on very small time frames (1M to 5M), targeting small but frequent profits.
- Day Trader: Trades daily with profit targets within the same day.
- Position Trader: Holds positions long-term.
- Swing Trader: Holds positions from several days to weeks.
3. Not Well-Organized
Case: A trading plan that is haphazardly organized without clear steps.
Solution:
- Create a Practical, Realistic, and Effective Plan:
- Write out the steps in your trading process.
- Include both short-term and long-term plans.
- Define risk tolerance limits, when to "break the rules," and when to take a "holiday" from the forex market.
4. Not Flexible and Not Developed
Case: A trading plan that is too rigid and doesn’t evolve with changing market conditions.
Solution:
- Be Flexible: Adapt your plan to dynamic market conditions.
- Example: If the initial plan sets a Stop Loss (SL) at 10 pips and a Take Profit (TP) at 20 pips, but market conditions change, don't hesitate to adjust SL or TP based on technical analysis.
- Upgrade Your Plan: Ensure your plan evolves with market changes.
5. Not Made a Habit
Case: Not making it a habit to write down the trading plan and note the difficulties encountered during trading.
Solution:
- Maintain a Trading Journal:
- Record all trading results based on your plan.
- Basic elements to note: entry and exit times, pairs traded, and details of trading activities.
- Benefits: Compare your current trading performance with past performance, learn from experience, and avoid repeating the same mistakes.
A trading plan is designed to guide your trading activities in a more structured manner. However, if it fails to generate profits, investigate the reasons. Perhaps the plan hasn't been properly tested, doesn't suit your personality, is not well-detailed, or isn't flexible enough to apply. Even the failure might stem from your own reluctance to document the plan in a journal regularly. Make the necessary improvements to ensure that profit is not just a dream.